Match Play — Wednesday Picks and Semi Live Blog

2:30 pm update:  Rory’s round is over; a terror attack just happened in London; the White House is holding a press briefing; a Supreme Court nominee confirmation hearing is in progress.  I’m supposed to watch the PGA Tour why?  To follow inside trader Mickelson?  Hurry, Augusta.  Hurry, CBS.

1:55 pm update:  I don’t get the “pregame.”  It’s sort of a poor man’s live coverage.  Why not just do real coverage and dispense with the pregame?

I note they timed it so Mickelson tees off right after TV time starts.  Rory’s match is almost over; Spieth is on the back nine.  But, by golly, we’ll get Mickelson, admitted inside trader and money-laundering gambler.


Got the lineup from Ryan Ballengee’s Golf New Net website.  My picks are in red:

  •     9:30 a.m. — Group 15: Branden Grace (-170) vs. Andy Sullivan (+130)
  •     9:41 a.m. — Group 15: Brandt Snedeker (-200) vs. William McGirt (+160)
  •     9:52 a.m. — Group 2: Rory McIlroy (-375) vs. Soren Kjeldsen (+200)
  •     10:03 a.m. — Group 2: Emiliano Grillo (-120) vs. Gary Woodland (-110)
  •     10:14 a.m. — Group 12: Paul Casey (-200) vs. Joost Luiten (+160)
  •     10:25 a.m. — Group 12: Charl Schwartzel (-150) vs. Byeong-hun An (+115)
  •     10:36 a.m. — Group 5: Jordan Spieth (-375) vs. Hideo Tanihara (+260)
  •     10:47 a.m. — Group 5: Ryan Moore (-190) vs. Yuta Ikeda (+150)
  •     10:58 a.m. — Group 13: Bubba Watson (-155) vs. Jhonattan Vegas (+120)
  •     11:09 a.m. — Group 13: Thomas Pieters (-175) vs. Scott Piercy (+135)
  •     11:20 a.m. — Group 4: Hideki Matsuyama (-230) vs. Jim Furyk (+175)
  •     11:31 a.m. — Group 4: Louis Oosthuizen (-175) vs. Ross Fisher (+130)
  •     11:42 a.m. — Group 9: Patrick Reed (-170) vs. Jason Dufner (+130)
  •     11:53 a.m. — Group 9: Brooks Koepka (+115) vs. Kevin Kisner (-150)
  •     12:04 p.m. — Group 8: Alex Noren (-175) vs. Thongchai Jaidee (+135)
  •     12:15 p.m. — Group 8: Francesco Molinari (-150) vs. Bernd Wiesberger (+115)
  •     12:26 p.m. — Group 16: Matt Kuchar (-150) vs. Brendan Steele (+120)
  •     12:37 p.m. — Group 16: Tommy Fleetwood (-155) vs. Zach Johnson (+120)
  •     12:48 p.m. — Group 1: Dustin Johnson (-260) vs. Webb Simpson (+190)
  •     12:59 p.m. — Group 1: Jimmy Walker (-115) vs. Martin Kaymer (-115)
  •     1:10 p.m. — Group 11: Danny Willett (-185) vs. K.T. Kim (+145)
  •     1:21 p.m. — Group 11: Russell Knox (-140) vs. Bill Haas (+110)
  •     1:32 p.m. — Group 6: Justin Thomas (-200) vs. Chris Wood (+160)
  •     1:43 p.m. — Group 6: Matt Fitzpatrick (-155) vs. Kevin Na (+120)
  •     1:54 p.m. — Group 14: Phil Mickelson (-225) vs. Si Woo Kim (+170)
  •     2:05 p.m. — Group 14: J.B. Holmes (-125) vs. Daniel Berger (-105)
  •     2:16 p.m. — Group 3: Jason Day (-190) vs. Pat Perez (+150)
  •     2:27 p.m. — Group 3: Marc Leishman (-140) vs. Lee Westwood (+110)
  •     2:38 p.m. — Group 10: Tyrrell Hatton (-175) vs. Charles Howell III (+135)
  •     2:49 p.m. — Group 10: Rafa Cabrera Bello (-170) vs. Jeunghun Wang (+130)
  •     3 p.m. — Group 7: Sergio Garcia (-185) vs. Shane Lowry (+145)
  •     3:11 p.m. — Group 7: Jon Rahm (-200) vs. Kevin Chappell (+160)
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4 Responses to Match Play — Wednesday Picks and Semi Live Blog

  1. ThreeWiggleExpert says:

    Intriguing matchups for me are
    Grillo and Woodland should be a good match.
    Bubba and Vegas
    Kuchar and Steele
    Walker and Kaymer
    Fleetwood and ZJ

    Obviously, the big names like Rory, Jordan, Day, DJ, etc are supposed to win and the underdogs are supposed to lose, but these are some of the ones I find as more of a toss up, at least on paper.

    • lannyh says:

      People outside of golf don’t realize the luck factor in an 18-hole matchup (or 72-hole, for that matter). DJ has been playing great, but if he gets a bad bounce and a few lip-outs, he can get clobbered by a guy who sees putts drop left and right. Maybe over four days, it evens out, but on any given day, it’s common for “bad” players to beat “good” players. I think some golf insiders envisioned Nos. 1, 2, 3, and 4 meeting in the finals most years — even though they should have known better.

      • ThreeWiggleExpert says:

        True, and I do. I guess my point is a person is unlikely to pick “an upset” of DJ, Rory, Jordan, etc, even though it could happen, and did. The matches I mentioned were ones I could easily go for the lower seed to upset the higher seed and not be surprised as much as, say, a Rory loss.

      • lannyh says:

        Looking back at my picks, that’s pretty much what I did, to be honest. When I used to bet, I loved to take underdogs because the odds are almost always in your favor. Every match is way closer to a toss-up than the betting public realizes.

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